And now for the forecast
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Faster horses
I can’t forecast well so I won’t. The 2023 forecasts doing the rounds on LinkedIn are just too general, too easy and too obvious to spend any time thinking about (yes of course GPT-3 will be a thing in 2023). More often than not, they also seem pretty irrelevant to what someone is actually supposed to be doing.
William Green tweeted this quote yesterday from Peter Drucker:
“Trying to predict the future is like trying to drive down a country road at night with no lights while looking out the back window.”
Rather pointless, right?
You can see far enough
But, to mangle that metaphor a bit, if we are in that car on a dark country road we still have to somehow make progress, which reminded me of the following from Anne Lamott in her book, Bird by Bird:
“Writing a novel is like driving a car at night. You can only see as far as your headlights, but you can make it the whole trip that way.”
Just keep playing the game
So instead of forecasting, perhaps we should keep playing our own game and let the score take care of itself. What are you metronomic about? What unique intuition or signals are you gathering? What ambition do you have and how does it manifest itself?
Stop forecasting. Keep going.
Important: None of these posts are investment advice. If you are thinking about investing you should seek the advice of a suitably qualified independent advisor.
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